This year’s Global Review takes place against the backdrop of many simultaneous crises affecting the multilateral trading system.  The continuing disruption caused by the COVID-19 pandemic and the health risk of new waves of infection continue to cast a shadow over the economic recovery – a recovery in which global trade has been an important driver. 

Digital connectivity rapidly emerged as a critical factor for resilience during the COVID-19 pandemic. The pandemic has spurred digital connectivity and e-government is driving forward ecommerce in many developing and least-developing countries.  Aid for Trade disbursements to this area are on the rise, but financing flows remain overall modest.

The 2022 joint OECD-WTO aid-for-trade monitoring and evaluation exercise points to growing awareness of climate change risks spurring action by developing countries and their financing partners.  OECD data shows that just more than half (51%) of Aid for Trade commitments now include climate-related objectives, with financing going towards mitigation on the rise. While promising, this trend is some way behind both the availability of financing and the prioritization of this issue in national development strategies could be.

Encouraging efforts are being made to integrate women’s economic empowerment into national and regional development policies, including in the areas of trade facilitation and climate transition. This is an on-going process and one which would be helped by greater gender disaggregated data.

Against the challenging economic context, the opening session will review where Aid for Trade financing is going, what it is achieving and how future priorities are being informed by short term pressures and medium to long term challenges.

Past Global Reviews have been instrumental in helping to galvanize support to address supply-side and trade-related infrastructure obstacles so that developing countries can derive maximum benefit from international trade.

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This paper was written toward the end of 2019. Today, in 2020, the world seems a different place, as we collectively experience the coronavirus crisis and new awareness about issues of racism and policy brutality. These crises have brought about new, and highlighted existing, urgent problems ― often exacerbated by Big Tech’s iron grip on our economic and social lives.

Emerging Challenges in 2020

The WTO itself is in serious crisis. The 12th WTO Ministerial Conference was due to be held in June 2020 but has been postponed ― possibly for another year. WTO Director-General Roberto Azevêdo has said he will step down on August 31, 2020, a year before completing his term. The United States is still blocking the appointment of new Appellate Body Members to the WTO, which means the WTO’s judicial function is not operational.

At the same time, many countries have had to take measures to deal with the novel coronavirus pandemic that are inconsistent with their WTO obligations. This is leading to a rethinking of whether the WTO model ― which left many countries short on domestic productive capacity and locked in rules that put foreign corporate rights before the domestic public health emergency ― are really fit for this purpose. There is a need for countries to have greater flexibility to depart from existing trade rules. This could well lead to a fundamental rethink of the WTO and its model of extreme liberalization ― which would be an urgent and welcome outcome.

Online commerce is booming, but many technology start-ups and thousands of small businesses have been hit hard by the pandemic-related economic shutdowns. On the contrary, Facebook, Google, and Amazon have seen their market shares and profits explode during the crisis.

At the same time, there is growing concern about the control that Big Tech exerts over so many aspects of public life, especially through anticompetitive behavior. Members of the US Congress and several federal agencies have joined European Union leaders in growing calls to break up vertically integrated roll-up corporations like Amazon, Google and Facebook.

A key provision of US tech policy that shields platforms from liability is coming under political scrutiny in the United States. As science deniers circulated inaccurate information about COVID-19 on social media, some tech corporations began to take steps to remove or flag erroneous content from their platforms. The Trump administration claimed a political bias, and Republicans are looking into rescinding the platforms’ immunity. At the same time, Democrats are concerned about some of the platforms’ policies of not taking down false or misleading political advertising that could jeopardize our elections.

There is growing recognition in many countries that digital corporations should pay their fair share of taxes. The EU is proposing this as a fiscal support measure in the wake of the crisis, but the Trump administration has just abandoned efforts toward a multilateral solution at the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD).

Dependence on essential workers during the coronavirus crisis has also led to a greater understanding of the need for hazard pay and social protection, especially in sectors with sectoral bargaining agreements. But so-called “gig” workers, such as Uber drivers, GrubHub deliverers, and Instacart shoppers, still do not enjoy basic labor rights as workers, rather than as “contractors.”

In the United States, pressure campaigns have successfully targeted the use of facial recognition software powered by artificial intelligence (AI), since studies have demonstrated the racist impacts of such software: AI gives false positives for Black people more often than for whites.

At the same time, WTO members have undertaken multiple rounds of negotiations with a view to drafting a new “plurilateral” agreement on digital trade. They have negotiated draft texts in secret on 13 different provisions on data collection, liability, market access rights, nondiscrimination, source code disclosure, taxes, cybersecurity, and more, as described in this paper.

During these times of crisis, uncertainty, and rapid transformation, we need our governments to be able to respond more proactively to emerging problems. We need public interest concerns about economic rights, racial justice and fairness, and human, civil, and political rights to be the focus of conversations about rewriting the rules governing data and technology.

To accomplish this, however, we need to ensure that corporations are unable to acquire new WTO “trade” disciplines designed by Big Tech to consolidate their power over our economy and limit democratic oversight in the public interest.

To view the full report, please click here

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